The role of preoperative screening for carotid artery disease in elderly patients undergoing cardiac surgical procedures is not clearly established. This prospective study was designed to determine the prevalence of carotid disease in this population and to identify preoperative risk factors for carotid artery stenosis. During a 54-month interval, 1087 patients of a consecutive series of 1184 patients 65 years of age and older who underwent cardiac surgical procedures (91% had coronary artery disease) were evaluated before operation with carotid duplex ultrasonography. The prevalence of disease was 17.0% for 50% or greater stenosis and 5.9% for 80% or greater stenosis. With use of a stepwise, logistic regression model of 12 preoperative variables, five variables were found by multivariate analysis to be significant (p less than or equal to 0.05) predictors of 80% or greater stenosis: female sex, peripheral vascular disease, history of transient ischemic attack or stroke, smoking history, and left main coronary artery disease. If all patients with at least one risk factor were screened, then this model predicts that 95% of patients with 80% or greater stenosis and 91% of patients with 50% or greater stenosis would be identified before operation. The probability of carotid disease in a given patient can also be estimated (range, 5% to 65%). Carotid endarterectomy combined with cardiac surgical procedures was performed on 46 patients who were either symptomatic (16) or had 80% or greater stenosis (30). The overall stroke rate for the 1087 patients was 2.0% (22 patients), and the 30-day mortality rate was 5.2% (56 patients).(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)