Clinical research study
Incidence of intracranial hemorrhage in patients with atrial fibrillation who are prone to fall

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.amjmed.2005.02.022Get rights and content

Abstract

Purpose

Patients at high risk for falls are presumed to be at increased risk for intracranial hemorrhage, and high risk for falls is cited as a contraindication to antithrombotic therapy. Data substantiating this concern are lacking.

Methods

Quality improvement organizations identified 1245 Medicare beneficiaries who were documented in the medical record to be at high risk of falls and 18 261 other patients with atrial fibrillation. The patients were elderly (mean 80 years), and 48% were prescribed warfarin at hospital discharge. The primary endpoint was subsequent hospitalization for an intracranial hemorrhage, based on ICD-9 codes.

Results

Rates (95% confidence interval [CI]) of intracranial hemorrhage per 100 patient-years were 2.8 (1.9–4.1) in patients at high risk for falls and 1.1 (1.0–1.3) in other patients. Rates (95% CI) of traumatic intracranial hemorrhage were 2.0 (1.3–3.1) in patients at high risk for falls and 0.34 (0.27–0.45) in other patients. Hazard ratios (95% CI) of other independent risk factors for intracranial hemorrhage were 1.4 (1.0–3.1) for neuropsychiatric disease, 2.1 (1.6–2.7) for prior stroke, and 1.9 (1.4–2.4) for prior major bleeding. Warfarin prescription was associated with intracranial hemorrhage mortality but not with intracranial hemorrhage occurrence. Ischemic stroke rates per 100 patient-years were 13.7 in patients at high risk for falls and 6.9 in other patients. Warfarin prescription in patients prone to fall who had atrial fibrillation and multiple additional stroke risk factors appeared to protect against a composite endpoint of stroke, intracranial hemorrhage, myocardial infarction, and death.

Conclusion

Patients at high risk for falls with atrial fibrillation are at substantially increased risk of intracranial hemorrhage, especially traumatic intracranial hemorrhage. However, because of their high stroke rate, they appear to benefit from anticoagulant therapy if they have multiple stroke risk factors.

Section snippets

Methods

The primary endpoint was hospitalization for an intracranial hemorrhage after the index hospital admission. The study was approved by the Washington University human subjects’ committee.

Cohort descriptions

Subjects at high risk for falls were older and had more comorbidities than other patients. In addition, they were significantly less likely to receive warfarin or aspirin therapy (Table 1).

Trial-like patients (n = 3236) were younger (mean age, 73 years) and healthier (mean number of bleeding risk factors, 0.6). Most of them were prescribed antithrombotic therapy (53.7% warfarin; 23.1% aspirin).

Data integrity and validation

We validated the fall-risk designation by examining ICD-9 codes for falling and for nonpathologic

Discussion

Despite their low use of warfarin (33.5%), patients at high risk for falls suffered 2.8 intracranial hemorrhages per 100 patient-years, more than twice the 1.1 intracranial hemorrhage rate of other participants and more than 5 times the 0.5 rate of trial-like participants. The increased risk of intracranial hemorrhage in patients at high risk for falls was due to their increased incidence of traumatic intracranial hemorrhage, which was increased four-fold compared to other patients, even after

Acknowledgment

The authors appreciate the assistance of the Iowa Foundation for Medical Care, the other Quality Improvement Organizations, and the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) in providing data that made this research possible.

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    Grant Support: Supported by the American Heart Association (0270099N). Disclaimer: The conclusions presented are solely those of the authors and do not represent those of the Quality Improvement Organizations, American Heart Association, or CMS. The content of this publication does not necessarily reflect the views or policies of the Department of Health and Human Services, nor does mention of commercial products imply endorsement of them by the U. S. Government. The authors assume full responsibility for the accuracy and completeness of the ideas presented.

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